日本变态强奷在线播放5000原標題:歐洲聚合物需求將受GDP增長放緩影響
中國石化新聞網訊 據ICIS網站3月12日倫敦報道 根據ICIS的分析,歐洲2020年較低的GDP增長可能會減少對聚合物的需求,盡管去庫存效應可能不如2008-2009年金融危機時明顯。
目前有三個相互關聯的因素正在影響歐洲和全球的聚合物需求:原油價格下跌、冠狀病毒和總體經濟不景氣。
日本变态强奷在线播放5000顯然,這些因素并不相互獨立:冠狀病毒的需求減弱加劇了經濟萎靡和油價疲軟。
日本变态强奷在线播放5000國內生產總值預測幾乎每天都在下調。
日本变态强奷在线播放5000冠狀病毒的爆發和各國政府的封鎖已經導致需求下降。
日本变态强奷在线播放5000牛津經濟研究院駐倫敦的分析師將歐盟今年的GDP增長預期下調至0.6%,為7年來最低,比一年前的預測低了約1.3個百分點。
理論上,這導致整個歐洲地區對塑料的需求減少。
受沖擊最大的是用于服裝的聚酯纖維、聚氯乙烯(PVC)和聚丙烯(PP)。
日本变态强奷在线播放5000通過回歸分析法,對于許多聚合物而言,0.6%的GDP增長率可以轉化為2020年樹脂需求的下降,其中聚氯乙烯和低密度聚乙烯(LDPE)可能下降約1.5%。
日本变态强奷在线播放5000王磊 摘譯自 ICIS
原文如下:
Europe polymers demand to be hit by slowing GDP growth
Europe's lower GDP growth in 2020 could cut demand for polymers, although the destocking effect may be less pronounced than in the 2008-2009 financial crisis, according to analysis by ICIS.
日本变态强奷在线播放5000Three interlinked factors are currently impacting polymer demand in Europe and globally: lower crude oil prices, coronavirus, and general economic malaise.
These factors are not independent of each other, obviously: weaker demand from the coronavirus adds to the economic malaise and weak oil prices.
日本变态强奷在线播放5000GDP forecasts are being downgraded on an almost daily basis.
The coronavirus outbreak and, more importantly, lockdown efforts by national governments have already led to lower demand.
日本变态强奷在线播放5000London-based analysts at Oxford Economics have cut GDP growth forecasts for the eurozone to 0.6% this year, the weakest in seven years, and around 1.3 percentage points lower than forecasts a year ago.
In theory this leads to a cut in demand for plastics across the European region.
日本变态强奷在线播放5000The most impacted are polyester fibres which are used for clothing, polyvinyl chloride (PVC) and polypropylene (PP).
Using regression analysis, we can see that for many polymers the 0.6% GDP growth rate could translate as a fall in demand for resin in 2020, with PVC and low density polyethylene (LDPE) likely to be down around 1.5%.
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